THE BCP Council leader is predicted to win more than half of the vote at the upcoming general election, a new poll has predicted.

Vikki Slade, the Liberal Democrat candidate for Mid Dorset and North Poole, is predicted to win 56.3 per cent of the vote according to the poll by More in Common.

Ms Slade would defeat previous MP Michael Tomlinson of the Conservative Party, who the poll expects to get 35.5 per cent of the vote.

More in Common polled 10,850 people to create a ‘multilevel regression with post-stratification’ (MRP) poll.

This uses data from a voting intention poll to model how people will vote based on their demographics, previous voting behaviour and information about their constituency.

The results are then applied to the demographic and electoral makeup of each constituency to make a prediction on the outcome.

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Elsewhere in the area, the poll predicts that Labour Party candidates Jessica Toale and Tom Hayes will win in the Bournemouth West and Bournemouth East constituencies.

Ms Toale is expected to win 35.9 per cent of the vote to the Conservative’s Sir Conor Burns’ 33.2 per cent.

In Bournemouth East, Mr Hayes is predicted to win 37.8 per cent of the vote, beating Conservative Tobias Ellwood, who will win 29.9 per cent of the vote, the poll says.

In the Christchurch, North Dorset, South Dorset, Poole and both New Forest West and East constituencies, the poll expects the Conservative candidates to hold on to their seats.

This would return Sir Christopher Chope, Simon Hoare, Richard Drax, Sir Robert Syms, Sir Desmond Swayne and Sir Julian Lewis to their seats.

In many of these seats, the poll predicts comfortable wins for the Conservative Party.

South Dorset is the closest of these constituencies, with Richard Drax expected to win 36 per cent of the vote, compared to Labour’s Lloyd Hatton’s 28.6 per cent of the vote.

The poll predicts that Sir Robert Syms in Poole will win 38.5 per cent of the vote, beating Labour’s Neil Duncan-Jordan by around 11 per cent.

In the rest of the seats which are expected to be held by the Conservatives, candidates are anticipated to win with a margin of around 20 per cent.

Nationally, More in Common predict that the Conservative Party will have its worst defeat in more than a century, with Labour predicted to win 406 seats to the Conservative’s 155.

To find the full poll and its data, visit the More in Common website.

A full list of candidates standing across the area can be found here.